Superintelligence research
Superintelligence research is the pursuit of AI that exceeds human cognitive ability across every domain. It's a long-term research question, not something affecting your business today. But it shapes the AI industry's priorities and investment patterns: companies racing toward this goal are the ones building the models your business will use in the near term. Understanding the direction of travel helps you make better long-term technology bets.
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The companies building the models your business uses today — Anthropic, OpenAI, Google — are spending billions pursuing AI that eventually matches or exceeds human-level reasoning across all domains. That goal is years away, but the side effects of the pursuit are hitting your business right now: the models keep getting dramatically better, the talent market stays insanely competitive, and the vendor landscape keeps reshuffling as new breakthroughs shift competitive positions.
The trap most companies fall into is treating superintelligence as either science fiction to ignore or an imminent threat to panic about. Neither is useful. The practical frame is: the pursuit of this goal guarantees that AI capabilities will keep improving rapidly, which means your technology strategy needs to assume continuous, significant change — not stability.
Questions to ask
- Does our three-year technology roadmap assume AI capabilities will stay roughly where they are, or does it account for continued rapid improvement?
- Are we building vendor relationships and contracts that give us flexibility as the market reshuffles?
- Is our team developing the adaptive capacity to absorb new AI capabilities, or are we still struggling to use what we already have?